Colombia's political transition is holding. The decisive pressure over the next ninety days is economic, and it is rising. Issue 001 covers June 2026 in review and the outlook running forward 30, 60, and 90 days: the runoff aftermath and the legal fight over the vote count, two competing tax reforms bracketing the 7 August handover, a fuel-price freeze that postpones a shock rather than removing it, the armed-group reprisal cycle in the southwest, and the migration pressure beginning on the Venezuela border.
June turned on the 21 June runoff. The result night brought a death and a bank bombing in Cali and overnight transit-station closures in Bogota, then hardened into a legal challenge to the vote count across roughly 33,000 polling stations. Barranquilla saw a four-person massacre and open extortion threats as rival criminal groups fought over turf. And on 29 June the army killed a senior commander of the largest FARC dissident network, the guerrilla factions that rejected the 2016 peace accord, opening a reprisal window across the Cauca and Valle corridors that runs into the new quarter.
The full issue turns this into dates and decisions. It marks the two with mobilization potential, 20 July and the 7 August handover, and carries the strategic risk map across all 33 departments with the month's deteriorations marked, the operational, mobilization, and border-pressure maps, the six judgments for the month ahead and the forward calls behind them, the 30, 60, and 90 day outlook, and a one-page brief written to be forwarded to the people who approve travel.